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CONSTITUENCY
PROFILE: ST.
CATHERINE EAST CENTRAL
PNP
to retain seat by landslide
Anthony
Myers
Contributor
K.D.
Knight (PNP), the incumbent MP, is confidently expected to
win in St. Catherine East Central in the upcoming general
election by yet another landslide.
By
the Constituencies (Boundaries) Order 1976 made by the Governor-General
under Section 67 of the Constitution of Jamaica and which
came into effect on November 24, 1976, the number of constituencies
was increased from 53 to 60. St. Catherine East Central was
among the newly-created constituencies as the number of seats
in the parish increased from five to seven.
Of
the five contested general elections in St. Catherine East
Central the PNP won four times - 1976, 1989, 1993 and 1997
- to the JLP's one - in 1980. The JLP by polling 7,961 (A.W.
Campbell), to the PNP's 6,227 (Ferdie Neita), won by a comfortable
margin of 1,734. All four PNP victories have been by massive
majorities, 3,508 in 1976, 4,674 in 1989, 4,707 in 1993 and
4,121 in 1997.
With
a mere increase in the number of electors over the 1997 voters'
list, the incumbent K.D. Knight
is confidently expected to win by yet another landslide. His
opponent Dr. Raymoth Notice of the JLP.
GENERAL
ELECTION (PARLIAMENTARY) PROJECTION 2002
2002
|
|
E/L |
19,898 |
A/B |
12,536
(63.0%) |
PNP |
8,286
(66.1%) |
JLP |
4,250
(33.9%) |
Majority
(PNP) |
4,036
|
GENERAL
ELECTIONS (SUMMARY) 1976 - 1997
1976
|
|
E/L |
14,638 |
B/C
|
12,445 |
A/B |
12,388 |
R/B |
57 |
Ferdinand
Neita, PNP |
7,948 |
Peter
Whittingham, JLP |
4,440
|
1980
|
|
E/L |
17,957 |
B/C |
14,768 |
A/B |
14,188
|
R/B |
580 |
A.W.
Campbell, JLP |
7,961 |
Ferdinand
Neita, PNP |
6,227 |
1983
|
|
E/L |
17,957 |
Anthony
Johnson, JLP |
(elected
unopposed by acclamation) |
1989
|
|
E/L |
19,961
|
B/C
|
14,902
|
A/B |
14,814
|
R/B
|
88 |
Keith
D. St. A. Knight, PNP |
9,744
|
Ruby
C. Walcott, JLP |
5,070
|
1993
|
|
E/L
|
14,797
|
B/C
|
9,108
|
A/B |
9,051
|
R/B
|
57 |
Marvalyn
Taylor-Wright, JLP |
2,172 |
Keith
D. St.A. Knight, PNP |
6,879
|
1997
|
|
E/L
|
19,210
|
B/C |
10,733
(55.9%) |
A/B
|
10,675
(99.5%) |
R/B |
58
( 0.5%) |
K.D.
Knight, PNP |
7,088
(66.4%) |
Vancliffe
Hammond, JLP |
2,967
(27.8%) |
Gersham
McLaughlin, NDM |
620
( 5.8%) |
NOTE:
|
|
E/L:
|
Electors
on List |
B/C: |
Ballots
Cast |
A/B:
|
Accepted
Ballots |
R/B: |
Rejected
Ballots |
Anthony
Myers is a statistician and political analyst who has done work
for the Electoral Office of Jamaica and for the People's National
Party. |