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CONSTITUENCY
PROFILE: ST. ANDREW NORTH WESTERN
JLP
should make it a four-timer
Anthony
Myers
Contributor
THE
INCUMBENT MP, Derrick Smith (JLP), is confidently expected
to make it a four-timer in St. Andrew North Western in the
upcoming general election.
The
PNP candidate is Nenna Wilson and Dr. Rosemarie Higgins is
running for the NJA-NDM.
St.
Andrew North Western was created in 1976 when the number of
constituencies was increased from 53 to 60. The parish of
St. Andrew was granted three additional seats moving from
eight to 11.
The
constituency of St. Andrew North Western is bounded from a
point where Washington Boulevard crosses the Sandy Gully at
the bridge, easterly along the northern side of Washington
Boulevard to the Rochester Gully, north easterly along the
western and northern sides of this gully to Red Hills Road,
northerly along the western side of Red Hills Road to the
Constant Spring Gully, then easterly along the northern side
of the Constant Spring Gully to Mannings Hill Road. It then
goes northerly and easterly along the western and southern
sides of Mannings Hill Road to a point opposite the end of
Westmead, thence, south easterly in a straight line to Westmead,
south easterly along the northern side of Westmead (so as
to include all premises on Westmead) to a point opposite Montcalm
Drive. From there it goes southerly in a straight line to
Montcalm Drive along both sides of Montcalm Drive to its end
(so as to include all premises on Montcalm Drive), easterly
along the southern boundary of Chancery Hall property to Michigan
Avenue, southerly along the eastern side of Michigan Avenue
to where it meets Sunbridge Gully. It then travels westerly
along the foothills of the Duhaney Park-Patrick City gully
along the gully to Waterhouse Drive, south westerly on the
eastern side of Waterhouse Drive to Washington Boulevard,
easterly along the nort0hern side of Washington Boulevard
to the starting point.
Of
the five contested parliamentary general elections 1976-1997,
the JLP won four to the PNP's one. In 1976, Dr. Kenneth McNeill
(PNP), polled 6,611 votes to defeat by 1,879, Karl Samuda
(JLP), who polled 4,743. In 1980 Karl Samuda sent Carlyle
Dunkley into early retirement from representative politics
when he trounced him by a massive 5,646 majority.
With
Karl Samuda shifting to St. Andrew North Central in 1989,
Derrick Smith stepped in to fill the breach for the JLP. In
a very close contest, Derrick Smith defeated his PNP opponent,
Dr. Jephthah V. Ford by 233 votes.
In
1993, in what could be described as a non-election as only
29.3 per cent of the electors on the list were accepted, and
many ballot boxes were declared void, Derrick Smith defeated
Dr. Jephthah Ford by 81 votes. In 1997, the incumbent increased
his 1993 majority over his old rival by 795 votes. JLP got
4,686 votes, and the PNP got 3,810, a majority of 876. NDM's
candidate Cordette Lewis polled 921 and Independent candidate
Dilpi Champagne polled a mere 38 votes.
With
no significant increase in the current voters' list over the
1997 list, Derrick Smith is confidently expected to make it
a four-timer.
GENERAL
ELECTION (PARLIAMENTARY) PROJECTION
2002
|
|
E/L |
17,663
|
A/B |
10,335
(58.5%) |
PNP |
4,529
(43.8%) |
JLP |
5,806
(56.2%) |
Majority
(JLP) |
1,277 |
Anthony
Myers is a statistician and political analyst who has done work
for the Electoral Office of Jamaica and for the People's National
Party. |