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CONSTITUENCY
PROFILE: ST ANDREW WESTERN
A
safe PNP seat
Anthony
Myers
Contributor
ST.
ANDREW Western is indeed a safe PNP seat in the upcoming general
election. The incumbent MP is O.T. Williams and he is being
challenged by Joyce Young of the JLP and Curtis Campbell of
the NJA-NDM.
St.
Andrew Western was among the 32 constituencies fixed in the
new Constitution granted to Jamaica in 1944. The constituency
of St. Andrew Western is comprised within the area bounded
from a point where the Washington Boulevard meets the Ferry
River, southerly along the eastern side of the Ferry River
to the seacoast, along the sea coast to a point opposite Twickenham
Close, thence on a straight line to Twickenham Close, northerly
along the western side of Twickenham Close to Spanish Town
Road. From there it goes westerly along the southern side
of Spanish Town Road to Simon Taylor Road, northerly along
the western side of Simon Taylor Road to the Dry Gully, along
the Dry Gully to Bay Farm Road, north westerly along the Bay
Farm Road, northerly in an imaginary line to the Sandy Gully,
from this point along the western boundary of Drews Land Housing
Estate to Washington Boulevard, westerly along the southern
side of Washington Boulevard to Waterhouse Drive. It then
travels, northerly along the western side of Waterhouse Drive
to the gully, along the gully to the foothills, to the Ferry
River, southerly along the eastern side of the Ferry River
to the starting point.
This
constituency was the domain of the JLP from 1944-1955. In
1944 E.R. Dudley Evans (JLP), polled 6,421 votes to defeat
Edith Dalton-James (PNP), by a 2,709 majority. In 1949, Rose
Agatha Leon polled 13,625 votes to defeat by a 1,626 majority,
W.M. Seivright (PNP), who polled 11,639 votes. In the 1959
boundaries adjustment, Western St. Andrew was divided into
two constituencies and named St. Andrew West Rural and West
Central. Arthur Leon won West Rural for the JLP and William
Seivright won West Central for the PNP. In 1976, the St. Andrew
Western constituency was restored, the size and voting population
considerably reduced in comparison to the original Western
1944-1955.
With
minor boundary changes in 1986 and 1992, the PNP has dominated
this seat winning all five contested parliamentary general
elections 1976, 1980, 1989, 1993 and 1997. In 1976,
David Coore massacred the JLP candidate Colin Williams winning
by a majority of 8,149. In the JLP landslide of 1980, in spite
of every attempt made to prevent Dudley Thompson from retaining
the seat, the PNP won the seat by 85 votes. In 1989 Onel Williams
polled 10,298 votes to Lee Clarke (JLP), 7,223 a majority
3,075.
In
the 1993 general election, Onel Williams retained the seat
for the PNP with a massive majority of 10,049 votes over the
JLP candidate, Owen Stephenson. In 1997, the incumbent O.T.
Williams polled 9,822 votes to defeat by a 6,648 majority,
Lee R. Clarke (JLP) who polled 3,174 votes. When one considers
that such result was achieved by a party seeking an unprecedented
third term, it can be said without fear of contradiction that
St. Andrew Western is PNP territory and indeed, a safe PNP
seat in the upcoming general election.
GENERAL
ELECTIONS (PARLIAMENTARY) PROJECTION
2002
|
|
E/L |
23,907
|
A/B |
15,540
(65.0%) |
PNP |
11,344
(73.0%) |
JLP |
4,196
(27.0%) |
Majority
(PNP) |
7,148
|
|
|
GENERAL
ELECTIONS (SUMMARY) 1944-1997
1944
|
|
E/L |
24,836
|
B/C |
13,175
|
A/B |
12,597 |
R/B
|
578
|
Edith
Dalton-James, PNP |
3,712
|
E.R.
Dudley Evans, JLP |
6,421
|
Arthur
P. Hanson, IND. |
333 |
Eleazer
E. McLaughlin, JDP. |
2,131
|
1949
|
|
E/L |
34,357
|
B/C |
23,198 |
A/B |
22,911 |
R/B |
187
|
H.E.V.
Brown, IND. |
203
|
Edith
Dalton-James, PNP |
10,225 |
E.R.
Dudley Evans, AIP |
294
|
Rose
Agatha Leon, JLP |
11,715 |
Eleazer
E. McLaughlin, INP. |
474
|
1955
|
|
E/L |
41,944
|
B/C |
25,860
|
A/B |
25,564 |
R/B |
296
|
M.G.
Edwards, FP |
660 |
Rose
Agatha Leon, JLP |
13,265
|
W.M.
Seivright, PNP |
11,639 |
1976
|
|
E/L |
17,168
|
B/C |
15,260
|
A/B |
15,173
|
R/B |
87 |
David
Coore |
11,661 |
Colin
Williamson, JLP |
3,512 |
1980
|
|
E/L |
22,613
|
B/C |
19,067 |
A/B |
18,642 |
R/B |
425
|
Owen
Stephenson, JLP |
9,227 |
Dudley
Thompson, PNP |
9,312
|
Beverley
Wright, IND. |
97
|
Maria
Wyles, IND. |
6
|
1983
|
|
E/L |
2,613 |
Pat
Stephens, JLP |
(elected
unopposed by acclamation) |
1989
|
|
E/L |
22,587
|
B/C |
18,044
|
A/B |
17,561
|
R/B |
483
|
Lee
R. Clarke, JLP |
7,223 |
Don
Jenkins, IND. |
40 |
Onel
Williams, PNP |
10,298 |
1993
|
|
E/L |
20,043 |
B/C |
14,109 |
A/B |
13,625 |
R/B |
484
|
Owen
Stephenson, JLP |
1,788 |
Onel
T. Williams, PNP |
11,837
|
1997
|
|
E/L |
22,200 |
B/C |
13,988
(63.0%) |
A/B |
13,292
(95.0%) |
R/B |
696
(5.0%) |
Onel
T. Williams, PNP |
9,822
(73.9%) |
Lee
R. Clarke, JLP |
3,174
(23.9%) |
Nelson
R. Quarry, NDM |
265
(2.0%) |
Leroy
Lindsay, IND. |
31
(0.2%) |
Majority
PNP |
7,148
|
NOTE:
|
|
E/L: |
Electors
on List |
B/C: |
Ballots
Cast |
A/B: |
Accepted
Ballots |
R/B: |
Rejected
Ballots |
Anthony
Myers is a statistician and political analyst who has done work
for the Electoral Office of Jamaica and for the People's National
Party. |