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CONSTITUENCY PROFILE: ST. ANDREW EAST CENTRAL

Under lock and key for Phillips
By Anthony Myers
Contributor

ST. ANDREW East Central is a safe PNP seat and the incumbent MP, Dr. Peter Phillips, is confidently expected to put daylight between himself and all-comers in the 2002 general election.

His opponents are Claude Riddell of the JLP and James Francis of the New Jamaica Alliance.

By the Constituencies (Boundaries) Order 1966, under Section 67 of the Constitution of Jamaica, the number of constituencies in the parish of St. Andrew was increased from six to eight.

From 1967 to 1997, there have been seven contested parliamentary general elections in St. Andrew East Central, the PNP wining all seven by massive majorities. In 1994, Arthur Jones (PNP), who defeated Capt. Rupert Wilmot-Francis (JLP), by a massive 10,333 was forced to resign from Parliament due to ill-health. In a by-election boycotted by the JLP, Dr. Peter Phillips, a former general secretary of the PNP, devastated his Republican Party candidate James Francis.

SAFE AS FORT KNOX

In 1997, Peter Phillips was awesome in victory as he polled 7,811 votes to defeat by a majority of 5,356, Godfrey McAllister (JLP), who polled 2,455 votes. St. Andrew East Central is safe PNP territory. The incumbent, Dr. Peter Phillips, is confidently expected to put daylight between himself and all-comers in the 2002 general election.

GENERAL ELECTION (PARLIAMENTARY) PROJECTION

2002

 
E/L 22,025
A/B 15,417 (70.0%)
PNP 11,254 (73.0%)
JLP 4,163 (27.0%)
Majority (PNP) 7,091

GENERAL ELECTIONS (SUMMARY) 1967 - 1997

1967

 
E/L 13,356
B/C 10,936
A/B 10,870
R/B 66
Norman W. Manley, PNP 6,768
Stafford Owen, JLP 4,102

1972

 
E/L 13,598
B/C 9,552
A/B 9,472
R/B 80
Trevor Levy, JLP 2,512
Kenneth McNeill, PNP 6,960

1976

 
E/L 16,045
B/C 13,579
A/B 13,510
R/B 69
Donald K. Duncan, PNP 9,301
Lloyd Williams, JLP 4,209

1980

 
E/L 21,359
B/C 18,635
A/B 18,483
R/B 152
Donald K. Duncan, PNP 10,308
Leslie Lloyd, JLP
8,098
Owen Tibby, IND. 77

1983

 
E/L 21,359
Leslie Lloyd, JLP (elected unopposed by
acclamation)


1989

 
E/L 19,501
B/C 15,608
A/B 15,364
R/B 244
Merlene Heholt, JLP 4,088
Arthur Jones, PNP 11,276

1993

 
E/L 21,321
B/C 16,580
A/B 16,181
R/B 399
Arthur Jones, PNP 13,257
Rupert Wilmot-Francis, JLP 2,924

1997

 
E/L 19,884
B/C 10,905 (54.8%)
A/B 10,687 (98.0%)
R/B 218 ( 2.0%)
Peter Phillips, PNP 7,811 (73.1%)
Godfrey McAllister, JLP 2,455 (23.0%)
Errol Stephenson, NDM 421 ( 3.9%)

NOTE:

 
E/L: Electors on List
B/C: Ballots Cast
A/B: Accepted Ballots
R/B: Rejected Ballots


Anthony Myers is a statistician and political analyst, who has done work for the Electoral Office of Jamaica and for PNP.


   © Jamaica Gleaner.com 2002