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CONSTITUENCY
PROFILE: ST. ANN SOUTH WESTERN
Victory to the JLP in a close race
By
Anthony Myers
ALL
AVAILABLE data show that in the upcoming general election
the JLP will be victorious in this constituency in a very
close contest.
The constituency of St. Ann South-Western is bounded by the
following:the southern boundary of Richmond Pen on the St.
Ann-Trelawny parishboundary, then easterly along this parish
boundary to the southern boundary of Industry Pen. It then
goes along this boundary to the Gibraltar-Watt
Town
main road, easterly along this main road to its junction with
the Brown's Town-Alexandria main road, then easterly along
the Brown's
Town-Alexandria
main road to the southern boundary of Endeavour. From there
it goes easterly along this boundary to a bridle track then
southerly along this bridle track to a parochial road, along
this parochial road and across Mason Ground to where it meets
carriage road No. 133, then southerly along this carriage
road to the Heartease Road. It then goes along the Heartease
road to Parochial Road No. 133, then along this parochial
road leading to Welcome,
continuing along the parochial road to parochial road No.
140.
From
there it goes easterly along parochial road No. 140 to its
junction with Parochial Road No. 181, southerly along parochial
road No. 181 to the John's Vale Forest Reserve boundary, then
to the St. Ann-Clarendon parish boundary and northerly along
this parish boundary to the starting point.
In 1959 as a result of an advancement in the Constitution,
45 constituencies were provided for,13 constituencies over
the 32 which had been fixed from 1944. South-West St. Ann
was among the 13 newly-created constituencies for the July
28, 1959 General Election. The parish of St. Ann got two additional
seats bringing the number of seats to four - St. Ann North-Western,
St. Ann North-Eastern,St.
Ann South-Eastern and St. Ann South- Western.
During the period 1959 to 1997 there have been nine contested
parliamentary elections in the constituency of South-Western
St. Ann.
Gideon
W. Aabuthnott-Gallimore won in 1959 and 1962 for the JLP while
his son Neville Eden Gallimore won in 1967, 1972, 1976, 1980,
1989 and 1993 for the JLP, with the PNP's Glenville Shaw winning
in 1997. The uncontested election of 1983 was won unopposed
by Neville Gallimore, representing the JLP.
It is a historical fact that since the creation of the South-West
St. Ann constituency in 1959 the PNP has tasted victory only
once. It is interesting to note that in 1993, the PNP's Glenville
Shaw came within a whisker of wrestling the seat from Gallimore
the younger, Gallimore's margin
of victory being a mere three votes.
With a high 12.9% increase in the 1997 voters' list over the
1993 list, Glenville Shaw made no mistake in 1997 as he polled
6,363 votes to 5,749 for the veteran politician Neville Gallimore.
Albert W. Lion (NDM), polled 500 and Louis Anthony Philips
(IND), 40, Shaw having a majority Shaw over Gallimore of 614.
So after 38 years of continuous support for the Gallimore
family in St. Ann South-Western, the PNP's electoral victory
drought finally
came to an end in the 1997 General Election.
With the current voters' list showing a mere 5.4% increase
over the 1997 list and Neville Gallimore retiring after losing
the 1997 contest, the JLP camp must be in a quandary as to
the likely outcome of the 2002 election campaign. When one
considers that the once formidable Neville Eden Gallimore
has been replaced by Ernest A. Smith who failed in threeconsecutive
attempts (1989, 1993, 1997) to wrestle the St. Ann North-Western
seat from the PNP, one can honestly conclude that this constituency,
once the domain of the JLP, will not easily change representation
in the upcoming general election.
On the other hand, the PNP is faced with its own disadvantages:-
1. Three consecutive terms in office
2. Going to the polls to secure an unprecedented fourth term.
3. Seeking to retain a seat which the JLP lost only once in
38 years.
St. Ann South-Western is undoubtedly one of the battle-ground
constituencies which the JLP must win to have any chance of
sitting on the right hand of the Speaker. All available data
give the JLP victory, in a very close contest.
General
Elections (Parliamentary) - Projection 2002
2002
|
|
E/L
|
16,994 |
A/B |
13,178
(77.5%) |
PNP |
6,295
(47.8%) |
JLP |
6,883
(52.2%) |
Majority
(JLP) |
588 |
General
Elections (Summary) 1959-1997
1959
|
|
E/L
|
14,316
B/C 8,453 |
A/B
|
8,374 |
R/B |
79 |
Gideon
W. Gallimore, JLP
|
4,487 |
A.S.
Wilmot, PNP |
3,887 |
1962
|
|
E/L |
10,767 |
B/C
|
7,603 |
A/B |
7,545 |
R/B |
58 |
G.W.
Aabuthnott-Gallimore, JLP |
4,224 |
C.A
Codaar, PNP |
3,074 |
Roy
A. Wilford, PNP |
247 |
1967
|
|
E/L |
8,759 |
B/C |
7,003 |
A/B |
6,939 |
R/B |
64 |
Joseph
Broderick, IND |
137 |
Percival
A.Broderick, PNP |
2,687 |
Neville
Eden Gallimore, JLP |
4,115 |
1972
|
|
E/L
|
9,021 |
B/C |
7,124 |
A/B |
7,080 |
R/B |
44 |
Neville
Gallimore, JLP |
4,234 |
Jackson
C.Wilmot, PNP |
2,846 |
1976
|
|
E/L |
11,992 |
B/C |
9,883 |
A/B |
9,809 |
R/B |
74 |
Neville
Gallimore, JLP |
6,050 |
Glen
Cruickshank, PNP |
3,759 |
1980
|
|
E/L |
12,030 |
B/C |
9,344 |
A/B |
9,270 |
R/B |
74 |
Neville
Gallimore, JLP |
7,237 |
Cornelius
Waugh, PNP |
2,033 |
1983
|
|
E/L |
12,030 |
Neville
Gallimore, JLP |
(elected
unopposed by acclamation.) |
1989
|
|
E/L |
15,384 |
B/C |
11,713 |
A/B |
11,633 |
R/B |
80 |
Neville
Gallimore, JLP |
6,916 |
Newton
Richards, PNP |
4,717 |
1993
|
|
E/L |
14,041 |
B/C |
9,823 |
A/B |
9,771 |
R/B
|
52 |
Neville
Gallimore, JLP |
4,887 |
Glenville
Shaw, PNP |
4,884 |
1997
|
|
E/L |
16,121 |
B/C |
12,716
(78.9%) |
A/B |
12,652
(99.5%) |
R/B |
64
(0.5%) |
Glenville
Shaw, PNP |
6,363
(50.3%) |
Neville
E. Gallimore, (JLP) |
5,749
(45.4%) |
Albert
W. Lyon, NDM |
500
(4.0%) |
Louis
Anthony Phillips, IND |
40
(0.3%) |
NOTE:
|
|
E/L: |
Electors
on List |
B/C:
|
Ballots
Cast |
A/B: |
Accepted
Ballots |
R/B:
|
Rejected
Ballots |
Anthony
Myers is a statistician and political analyst who has done
work for the Electoral Office of Jamaica and for the People's
National Party
|