MANCHESTER
North East must be regarded in the upcoming general election
as Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) territory built by Audley Shaw,
the incumbent MP. By the Constituencies (Boundaries Order)
1966 made by the Governor-General under Section 67 of the
Constitution of Jamaica and which came into operation on January
3, 1967, the number of constituencies was increased from 45
to 53.
The
parish of Manchester was provided with an additional constituency
bringing the total number to four. The boundaries were redrawn
and new constituencies were created, namely - Manchester Southern,
North Western, Central and North Eastern.
Of
the seven contested Parlia-mentary General Elections (1967-1997)
in Manchester North Eastern, the JLP won six to one for the
People's National Party (PNP). There is no doubt that this
seat based on voting patterns since 1997 is consistent in
its support of the JLP. The PNP's only victory was in 1989
when, in a very close contest, Calvin Lyn defeated Audley
Shaw (JLP), by 210 votes.
In
1993 when the PNP won 52 of the 60 constituencies islandwide
including three in Manchester, the JLP regained control of
Manchester North Eastern as Audley Shaw defeated Kenneth C.
Neita (PNP), by 795 votes. For Audley Shaw to have won this
seat in 1993 speaks volume for his adeptness at marshalling
support and out-generaling his opponents. This was further
borne out by his putting to rest any doubt that might have
been in the minds of political pundits as to who rules in
Manchester North East. By polling 6,965 votes compared to
his two opponents - Errol Gentles (PNP), 5,568 and Wayne Chen
(NDM), 1,851 - he once again demonstrated his capacity to
defy great odds in turning back the challenge of two formidable
candidates. His margin of victory over the PNP candidate (1,397),
was a 75.7per cent increase on his 1993 majority.
The
incumbent Audley Shaw is undoubtedly an excellent representative
of the people of Manchester North Eastern and it will be extremely
difficult for any of his challengers in the upcoming general
election to deny him a third consecutive term. Manchester
North Eastern - JLP territory - built by Shaw.
GENERAL
ELECTIONS (PARLIAMENTARY) - PROJECTION 2002