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CONSTITUENCY
PROFILES:
ST. JAMES WEST CENTRAL
JLP has the edge
Anthony
Myers
Contributor
ST.
JAMES West Central was created in 1976 when the number of
constituencies for the parish was increased from three to
four.
The
constituency boundaries were redrawn and three new constituencies
namely St. James East Central, St. James West Central
and St. James Southern were named along with St. James
North Western.
The
constituency of St. James West Central is bounded by the following:
From
where the northern boundary of Eden Estate meets the Great
River, thence easterly along this boundary to the western
boundary of Wiltshire Estate. It then goes north-easterly
along the southern boundary of Wiltshire Estate to the northern
boundary of the Anchovy Bottom Estate and north easterly along
this boundary to a track. From there it goes south-easterly
along this track to where it meets parochial road No. 29,
Montpelier, northerly along this road to where it meets parochial
road No. 27, Montpelier.
From
there it travels south eas terly along parochial road No.
27, Montpelier, to where it meets parochial road No. 16 at
Turtle Pond, then to Wales Pond, then to parochial road No.
10, Montpelier. It then goes south easterly along parochial
road No. 10, Montpelier, to the northern boundary of Concordia,
then easterly to parochial road No. 35, Springfield, and northerly
along this parochial road to where it meets parochial road
No. 15. From there it travels southerly along this parochial
road to the southern boundary of Retirement, easterly along
this boundary and then northerly along the eastern boundary
to parochial road No. 21 Springfield. It then travels westerly
along this road to the John's Hall main road, north-westerly
along this main road to where it meets parochial road No.
24, St. James, northerly along this road to where it meets
Adelphi main road, easterly along this main road to where
it meets Timber Road, and north-easterly along Timber Road
to where it meets parochial road No. 4, Marley, at the northern
boundary of Kirkpatrick Hall then northerly along parochial
road No. 4 Marley through Leogan, Moreland and Blue Hole to
parochial road No. 34, Rose Hall. It then goes northerly along
this road to the northern boundary of Flower Hill, south-easterly
along this boundary to where it meets Flower Hill Avenue (parochial
road No. 13B), westerly along this main road to a track leading
to Hartfield Property opposite the Salt Spring School, then
northerly along this track to where it meets Parochial Road
No. 10, St. James. From there it goes south-westerly along
this parochial road to where it meets the Green Pond main
road, easterly along this road to the eastern boundary of
Farm Pen, southerly along the eastern boundary of Farm Pen
to the northern boundary of Cathe-rine Hall Pen, westerly
along the northern boundary of Catherine Hall Pen to the Eastern
Montego Bay boundary, south-easterly along this boundary and
then westerly in an imaginary line to Clarke Street, along
Clarke Street to the Mount Salem main road, westerly along
this main road to Cottage Road, along Cottage Road to Barnett
Street, along Barnett Street to Fustic Road, along Fustic
Road to the Railway Line, along the Railway Line to the Barnett
River, along the Barnett River to the sea. It then goes southerly
and westerly along the sea coast to where the Great River
enters the sea then south-easterly along the Great River to
the starting point.
Of
the five contested elections 1976-1997, the PNP won in 1976,
1989, 1993 and 1997; the JLP in 1980. In 1997, Arthur Nelson,
who defeated Anthony Lewin (JLP) by a majority of 1,776 in
1993, had to fight off a strong challenge from the then Mayor
Gilchrist in the 'battle of the Arthurs' for the candidacy
of the constituency. The 1997 voters' list increased by 6,014
(39.5 per cent) over the 1993 list.
With
such a significant increase in registered voters a PNP victory
was not on the books among many pundits. Arthur Nelson proved
them wrong as he polled 5,873 votes to defeat by 627, the
JLP's Anthony Lewin who polled 5,246 votes.
The
NDM candidate Ainsley Blair polled 618 votes. This upcoming
contest is clearly between the PNP and the JLP as the NDM/UPP
will both be overwhelmed and therefore not a factor to reckon
with in this constituency.
With
the voters' list before May 31 showing a 7.7 per cent increase
in registered voters over the 1997 list and the incumbent
Arthur Nelson not seeking re-election, the JLP in spite of
a change of candidate, has an excellent chance of denying
the PNP a victory which could put that party ahead on election
night. In a close contest the JLP clearly has the edge.
GENERAL
ELECTION (PARLIAMENTARY) - PROJECTION
2002
|
|
E/L
|
22,864 |
A/B |
12,450
(54.5%) |
PNP |
6,096
(48.96%) |
JLP |
6,354
(51.04%) |
Majority
(JLP) |
258 |
GENERAL
ELECTIONS (SUMMARY) 1976-1997
1976
|
|
E/L |
12,612 |
B/C
|
10,464 |
A/B |
10,433 |
R/B |
31 |
Francis
Tulloch, PNP |
6,708 |
Winston
Watt, JLP |
3,725 |
1980
|
|
E/L |
15,226 |
B/C |
13,199 |
A/B |
13,169 |
R/B |
30 |
Clive
Dobson, PNP |
5,285 |
Carl
Rhoden, JLP |
7,884 |
1983
|
|
E/L |
15,226 |
Carl
Rhoden, JLP |
(elected
unopposed by acclamation) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1989
|
|
E/L |
17,184 |
B/C |
13,035 |
A/B |
12,816 |
R/B |
219 |
Patrick
A. Rose-Green,
PNP |
7,651 |
Winston
Watt, JLP |
5,165 |
1993
|
|
E/L
|
15,215
|
B/C |
8,735 |
A/B |
8,654 |
R/B |
81 |
Anthony
D. Lewin, JLP |
3,439 |
Arthur
Nelson, PNP |
5,215 |
1997
|
|
E/L |
21,229 |
B/C |
11,804
(55.6%) |
A/B |
11,737
(99.4%) |
R/B |
67
(0.6%) |
Arthur
Nelson, PNP |
5,873
(50.0%) |
Anthony
Lewin, JLP |
5,246
(44.7%) |
Ainsley
Blair, NDM |
618
(5.3%) |
NOTE:
|
|
E/L:
|
Electors
on List |
B/C: |
Ballots
Cast |
A/B: |
Accepted
Ballots |
R/B: |
Rejected
Ballots |
|
|
|
|
Anthony
Myers is a statistician and political analyst who has done work
for the Electoral Office of Jamaica and for the People's National
Party.
|